∅ Empty Set Football
Week 2 · 2026 regular season

Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans

Sun, Sep 20, 10:00 AM PT

Final Philadelphia Eagles won
How the forecasts did
ESF
(pre-game win probability)
PHI 80%
20% TEN

Right: PHI won

No betting line was collected for this game; lines start with week 3 of 2026.

After the game

CAP win pct, before and after

Each team's CAP win pct before this game and after it. League average is 0.50; higher is better.

PHI · won
0.96
0.94 before → 0.96 after (+0.02).
TEN · lost
−0.11
−0.10 before → −0.11 after (−0.01).
This game

How each offense played

Box score and CAP yards per attempt for each offense. Higher is better for an offense; a CAP value above zero means the offense beat what the situation and this defense would predict.

OffensePlaysBox score
yds/att
CAP
yds/att
CAP
−2 to +2
PHIPass377.1−1.68
PHIRush322.8−1.70
TENPass209.2+3.06
TENRush294.2+0.62

Sacks (raw counts):PHI sacked 3 times · TEN sacked 2 times. Sacks are counted, not CAP-modeled.

Box score yards per attempt count yards as an official box score does: rushing includes scrambles and kneel-downs; passing is gross yards per pass attempt, sacks excluded. CAP yards per attempt measure each play against what the down, distance, field position and this specific defense would predict; above zero means the offense beat that expectation.

Before the game

Unit matchups · entering week 2

Where each side has the edge

Each offense against the defense it faces, in CAP yards per attempt. Offense: higher is better. Defense (yards allowed): lower is better.

Pass: PHI offense vs TEN defense
−0.2520th
box score 8.1 · 11th
Edge
PHI
+1.4432nd
box score 9.0 allowed · 25th
Rush: PHI offense vs TEN defense
+0.1114th
box score 5.4 · 6th
Edge
PHI
+0.2223rd
box score 3.9 allowed · 12th
Pass: TEN offense vs PHI defense
−1.1430th
box score 4.4 · 32nd
Edge
PHI
−1.132nd
box score 4.8 allowed · 3rd
Rush: TEN offense vs PHI defense
+0.0317th
box score 4.9 · 9th
Edge
PHI
−0.259th
box score 4.1 allowed · 19th

CAP yards per attempt: yards per play relative to what the down, distance, field position and the specific opponent would predict; offense positive is good, defense (allowed) negative is good. Box score: yards per attempt as an official box score counts them, entering week 2.

Week 2

Other games this week

Home team's chance to win before kickoff. Higher means the home team is more likely to win.

Dots: ESF model home win probability.

How to read this page

CAP win pct. A fading average of game scores with a half-life of 7 of the team's own games. A win scores 1 plus the opponent's win pct; a loss scores the opponent's win pct minus 1. Last season carries in. League average is 0.50; higher is better.

CAP yards per attempt. Yards per play relative to what the down, distance, field position and the specific opponent would predict. Offense: higher is better. Defense (yards allowed): lower is better.

Box score yards per attempt. Yards divided by attempts, counted the way an official box score counts them: rushing includes scrambles and kneel-downs; passing is gross yards per pass attempt, sacks excluded.

ESF win probability. A logistic regression on both teams' pre-game CAP win pct, with an intercept for home field.