2026 season
The Slate · Week 3
Betting linesEvery game is final. Lines are the closing lines this week was graded against.
ESF picked 10 of 16 winners · Market picked 8 of 15.
ESF model (pre-game CAP win pct) Market (median of US books, vig removed)
| Game away @ home | Kickoff Pacific | Gap, pts ESF − market | Spread home | Moneyline away / home | ESF pick win prob | Market pick win prob | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ GB Final · ATL won | Thu 5:15 PM | — | — | — | GB 67% | — | ATL won | |
| CAR @ CLE Final · CLE won | Sun 10:00 AM | ±0 | +2 | −130 / +110 | CAR 54% | CAR 54% | CLE won | |
| CIN @ PIT Final · PIT won | Sun 10:00 AM | +17 | +3 | −174 / +147 | PIT 56% | CIN 61% | PIT won | |
| HOU @ IND Final · IND won | Sun 10:00 AM | −12 | +1.5 | −126 / +108 | HOU 66% | HOU 54% | IND won | |
| KC @ MIA Final · KC won | Sun 10:00 AM | +28 | +10 | −615 / +455 | KC 54% | KC 83% | KC won | |
| LAC @ BUF Final · BUF won | Sun 10:00 AM | −1 | −7 | +274 / −340 | BUF 74% | BUF 74% | BUF won | |
| NE @ JAX Final · JAX won | Sun 10:00 AM | −2 | −3 | +136 / −162 | JAX 58% | JAX 59% | JAX won | |
| NYJ @ DET Final · DET won | Sun 10:00 AM | ±0 | −7 | +260 / −325 | DET 73% | DET 73% | DET won | |
| SEA @ WAS Final · WAS won | Sun 10:00 AM | −4 | +9 | −405 / +320 | SEA 81% | SEA 77% | WAS won | |
| TEN @ NYG Final · NYG won | Sun 10:00 AM | +3 | −2.5 | +117 / −141 | NYG 59% | NYG 56% | NYG won | |
| ARI @ SF Final · SF won | Sun 1:05 PM | +9 | −7.5 | +303 / −380 | SF 86% | SF 76% | SF won | |
| MIN @ TB Final · MIN won | Sun 1:05 PM | −22 | +1 | −112 / −104 | MIN 73% | MIN 51% | MIN won | |
| BAL @ DAL Final · BAL won | Sun 1:25 PM | +11 | +3.5 | −176 / +148 | BAL 50% | BAL 61% | BAL won | |
| LV @ NO Final · LV won | Sun 1:25 PM | +5 | −3.5 | +160 / −185 | NO 68% | NO 63% | LV won | |
| LA @ DEN Final · DEN won | Sun 5:20 PM | +16 | +1 | −115 / −105 | DEN 65% | LA 51% | DEN won | |
| PHI @ CHI Final · CHI won | Mon 5:15 PM | +11 | +3.5 | −195 / +167 | PHI 53% | PHI 64% | CHI won |
Picks: blue means the pick was right, red and struck through means wrong. Shaded rows: ESF and the market differ by 10 points or more. Market probability: moneylines with the bookmaker's margin (vig) removed, the median across US books; a final game uses the last pull before its kickoff. Spread: negative means the home team is favored. Lines as of Sep 28, 4:48 PM PT. Home win probability, the gap in points, spread and moneyline are on each game's page.
Betting lines