2026 season
The Slate · Week 6
Betting linesUpdated after every odds pull and within about an hour after each game ends. Select a game for its full page.
ESF picked 7 of 13 winners so far · Market picked 7 of 13.
ESF model (pre-game CAP win pct) Market (median of US books, vig removed)
| Game away @ home | Kickoff Pacific | Gap, pts ESF − market | Spread home | Moneyline away / home | ESF pick win prob | Market pick win prob | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA @ DEN Final · DEN won | Thu 5:15 PM | +15 | +2 | −136 / +106 | DEN 60% | SEA 55% | DEN won | |
| HOU @ JAX Final · HOU won | Sun 6:30 AM | +13 | −3 | +140 / −166 | JAX 73% | JAX 60% | HOU won | |
| BAL @ CLE Final · CLE won | Sun 10:00 AM | −1 | +3 | −174 / +146 | BAL 62% | BAL 61% | CLE won | |
| CAR @ PHI Final · CAR won | Sun 10:00 AM | +23 | +3 | −158 / +134 | PHI 64% | CAR 59% | CAR won | |
| CHI @ ATL Final · CHI won | Sun 10:00 AM | −2 | +1 | −118 / −102 | CHI 54% | CHI 52% | CHI won | |
| NO @ NYG Final · NO won | Sun 10:00 AM | +6 | +1 | −110 / −110 | NYG 56% | NO 50% | NO won | |
| NYJ @ NE Final · NE won | Sun 10:00 AM | +6 | −7 | +275 / −350 | NE 81% | NE 74% | NE won | |
| PIT @ TB Final · PIT won | Sun 10:00 AM | −8 | +2.5 | −140 / +120 | PIT 64% | PIT 56% | PIT won | |
| TEN @ IND Final · TEN won | Sun 10:00 AM | ±0 | −6.5 | +240 / −298 | IND 72% | IND 72% | TEN won | |
| ARI @ LA Final · ARI won | Sun 1:05 PM | −7 | −13 | +589 / −841 | LA 79% | LA 86% | ARI won | |
| BUF @ LV Final · BUF won | Sun 1:25 PM | −7 | +5 | −235 / +195 | BUF 74% | BUF 67% | BUF won | |
| LAC @ KC Final · KC won | Sun 1:25 PM | −8 | −7.5 | +342 / −447 | KC 70% | KC 78% | KC won | |
| DAL @ GB Final · GB won | Sun 5:20 PM | +19 | +1 | −115 / −105 | GB 68% | DAL 51% | GB won | |
| WAS @ SF Mon 5:15 PM | Mon 5:15 PM | +9 | −7.5 | +330 / −420 | SF 86% | SF 78% | — |
Picks: blue means the pick was right, red and struck through means wrong. Shaded rows: ESF and the market differ by 10 points or more. Market probability: moneylines with the bookmaker's margin (vig) removed, the median across US books; a final game uses the last pull before its kickoff. Spread: negative means the home team is favored. Lines as of Oct 18, 4:47 PM PT. Home win probability, the gap in points, spread and moneyline are on each game's page.
Betting linesByes: CIN, DET, MIA, MIN.